Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 97%
Prévisionnistes
144
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète7 janv. 26, 11:1331 déc. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT, the United States acquires sovereignty or primary/exclusive jurisdiction or control over any defined land territory in Greenland through a binding legal instrument (e.g., treaty, enacted legislation, or executive action), including via force.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
- Only binding actions that unambiguously transfer sovereignty or establish primary/exclusive U.S. jurisdiction qualify, even if the effective date occurs after the market deadline.
- Non-binding statements, negotiations, MOUs, basing/access agreements, SOFA/COFA-type arrangements, leases, or commercial concessions do not qualify.
- Any U.S. rights or control existing at market creation (Jan 7, 2026, 3:11 PT) will not count.
- The primary resolution source will be official statements or legal instruments from the U.S., Denmark, or Greenland, with a consensus of credible reporting used if necessary.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Futuur — Will the US control part of Greenland in 2026? · No 86%
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No 93%
- Également disponible sur PredictIt — Will the US purchase Greenland in 2026? · No 98%
- Également disponible sur Limitless — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No 94%
- Également disponible sur Manifold Markets — US buys Greenland in 2026? · No 97%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour US acquires part of Greenland in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 97% au 3 septembre 2026.
- Quand US acquires part of Greenland in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- US acquires part of Greenland in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment US acquires part of Greenland in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT, the United States acquires sovereignty or primary/exclusive jurisdiction or control over any defined land territory in Greenland through a binding legal instrument (e.g., treaty, enacted legislation, or executive action), including via force.
- Où US acquires part of Greenland in 2026? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Futuur, Polymarket, PredictIt, Limitless, Manifold Markets.