KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleBefore January 21, 2029 24%+3.0%
Qualite du marche
73 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
26,5 k €
Liquidité
478,8 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
24.0% / 27.0%
Spread
12.5%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
9 janv. 25, 18:0021 janv. 29, 15:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Before January 21, 202924%
Comparer les plateformes· Before January 21, 2029
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global82% de correspondance · lié | Élevée | 96% | — | 6,3 k € | 207,6 k € | il y a 7 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| Kalshi82% de correspondance · lié | Élevée | 16% | — | 254 € | 716,8 k € | il y a 7 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| KalshiCette pageLa plus active | Moyenne | 24% | — | 26,5 k € | 478,8 k € | il y a 7 minutes | |
 Limitless82% de correspondance · lié | Faible | 95% | — | 0 € | 0 € | il y a 27 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 Manifold Markets82% de correspondance · lié | — | 94% | — | — | — | il y a 6 jours | Ouvrir → |
| Manifold Markets78% de correspondance · vérifié | — | 95% | — | — | — | il y a 38 jours | Ouvrir → |
| Manifold Markets82% de correspondance · vérifié | — | 91% | — | — | — | avant-hier | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
5mo
96%
4%
100 • Haute qualitéSpread serréLiquidité élevéeProche de la résolution
Volume total30,8 M €
Volume 24h6,3 k €
POLYMARKETÉgalement disponible sur Kalshi
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
0.1%5mo
16%
-0.1%6%
0%
91 • Haute qualitéSpread serréLiquidité élevée
Volume total4,4 M €
Volume 24h254 €
KALSHIÉgalement disponible sur Limitless
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
5mo
94.6%
5.5%
28 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total22 k €
Volume 24h0 €
LIMITLESSÉgalement disponible sur Manifold Markets
Will Trump/USA buy or acquire part of Greenland?
2a
91%
9%
Prévision communautaire1 259 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSÉgalement disponible sur Manifold Markets
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
5mo
94.1%
5.9%
Prévision communautaire13 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSÉgalement disponible sur Manifold Markets
Will Greenland become part of the US by the end of Trump’s term?
2a
95.3%
4.7%
Prévision communautaire41 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRègles
If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls any part of Greenland that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. any part of Greenland must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously.
- Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Grosses transactions
$1.3k95.4%POLYMARKETWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? — NoChasingPaper-8 j
POLYMARKETWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? — NoChasingPaper-8 j$1.1k93.3%KALSHIBefore 2027 — No-17 j
KALSHIBefore 2027 — No-17 j$1.5k95.4%POLYMARKETNoNxbYid-24 j
POLYMARKETNoNxbYid-24 jTendance du volume
$30.2k2 juil.25j de données26 juil.
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If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls any part of Greenland that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. any part of Greenland must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously.
- Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.