KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 92%
Qualité du marché
67 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
95,9 €
Liquidité
32,5 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
8.1% / 10.0%
Écart
1.9 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
9 janv. 25, 18:00 UTC21 janv. 29, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
KalshiDoes the US take control of Kharg Island (Iran) with boots on the ground even just for an hour before ... (UTC)?
Manifold MarketsWill America annex any part of Canada before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any part of Canada join the United States by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the US control part of Greenland in 2026?
FutuurWhich companies will the US take a stake in?
PolymarketRègles
If the United States acquires any part of Canada before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The New York Times
- An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls any part of Canada that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. any part of Canada must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously.
- Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the US take control of any part of Canada? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 92% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the US take control of any part of Canada? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the US take control of any part of Canada? doit être résolu le 21 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will the US take control of any part of Canada? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the United States acquires any part of Canada before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.