Will Vladimir Putin claim to have taken control of any part of Alaska during Trump’s presidential term?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionGéopolitiqueRussie / Ukraine2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 97.1%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète16 janv. 26, 00:08 UTC20 janv. 29, 11:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any time during Donald Trump’s presidential term (beginning January 20, 2025, and ending January 20, 2029, unless the term ends earlier or later due to impeachment, resignation, death, emergency extension, or other constitutional or extraordinary reasons), Putin, in his official capacity, states or declares that he has acquired sovereignty or primary/exclusive jurisdiction or control over any defined land territory within the U.S. state of Alaska, including via force, purchase, referendum or Russian court decision.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.”
- Only explicit official claims or declarations that unambiguously assert sovereignty or control qualify.
- Speculation, unofficial commentary, third-party analysis, or ambiguous rhetoric does not qualify.
- The sole resolution sources will be Russian official state media and official Kremlin communications (e.g., presidential decrees, speeches, or state news agencies).
- No confirmation or recognition by the United States or international bodies is required.
