FutuurVérifier la disponibilitéDonnées de résolution vérifiéesProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 90%
Non 90%Qualité du marché
33 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
978 €
Faible liquiditéTraders
6
Commentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Ukraine control any part of Crimea for at least a week before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US control Greenland in 2026?
FutuurWill Trump or his family benefit financially from US control of Venezuela by end of year?
Manifold MarketsWill the US take control of any part of Greenland?
KalshiWill Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
KalshiWhat countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This event predicts whether the United States will exercise sovereign control over any new portion of Greenland's territory at any time between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, “control” means formal transfer of sovereignty or governance authority over Greenland to the United States.
- Qualifying U.S. jurisdiction or control that already existed before this market was created will not count as new qualifying control.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official treaties, legislation, or executive actions by the U.S. and Danish/Greenlandic authorities confirming such a transfer.
- If Greenland is formally placed under U.S. sovereign control during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Manifold Markets — US buys Greenland in 2026? · No 98%
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No 97%
- Également disponible sur PredictIt — Will the US purchase Greenland in 2026? · No 98%
- Également disponible sur Limitless — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No 97%
