LimitlessVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 95.6%
Qualité du marché
30 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
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Liquidité inconnueDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
20 janv. 26, 17:39 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the United States of America acquire Greenland by Dec. 31 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow much will the US acquire Greenland for?
Kalshi$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
Kalshi2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur.
- Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
2 plateformes cotent actuellement ce marché. La probabilité de référence pondérée par la liquidité de CoinRithm pour Référence CoinRithm est de 3%. Les cotations s'écartent d'environ 1 point de pourcentage entre les plateformes extrêmes. Les plateformes ne s'accordent pas sur l'issue en tête.
Référence CoinRithm 3% · 2 plateformes · 1 pt d’ecart entre venues
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.1pt100%
- $25M+3.5pt99%
- $50M+7.9pt99%
+11 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,4 M €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84%
- Republican Party16%
- Volume total
- 25,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 843,8 k €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate-1.0pt46.5%
- D-House, R-Senate36.6%
- R-House, R-Senate-1.0pt14.8%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHITexas Senate winner?
- Ken Paxton-2.0pt50.5%
- James Talarico+2.0pt49.5%
- Volume total
- 9,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 402,7 k €
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot-3.8pt56.8%
- Benjamin Netanyahu+1.0pt29.5%
- Naftali Bennett7.4%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHITX-15 House winner?
- Bobby Pulido+3.0pt58%
- Monica De La Cruz-4.0pt42%
- Volume total
- 1,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 216,3 k €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- What will Trump say this week?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Who will Trump mention during the RNC Midterm Convention?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? ?
- Limitless cote No à 96% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Limitless règle ce marché comme suit : <p>This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Où Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Kalshi, Manifold Markets, Polymarket.