Will the United States of America acquire Greenland by Dec. 31 2026?
Corporate ActionsTechOne-OffPolitiqueUS PoliticsGéopolitique3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 98%
Prévisionnistes
39
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète8 janv. 26, 02:08 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
LimitlessWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
PolymarketWhat countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Trump administration sign a bilateral agreement to acquire land in Greenland by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if the United States acquires sovereignty over Greenland by December 31, 2026.
- Acquisition would require either: (1) a formal transfer of sovereignty from Denmark to the United States through a treaty or purchase agreement ratified by the U.S. Senate or Danish Parliament, or (2) effective U.S. military control over some or all of the territory.
- The market resolves NO if no such transfer occurs by the deadline.
- Resolution will be determined by official statements from the U.S. State Department or other U.S. government agencies.
- Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Effective military control is defined as: The US government making an official statement that they have control over Greenland via the US Military.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the United States of America acquire Greenland by Dec. 31 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 98% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the United States of America acquire Greenland by Dec. 31 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the United States of America acquire Greenland by Dec. 31 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will the United States of America acquire Greenland by Dec. 31 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution Criteria