Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Matières premièresTechOne-OffPolitique commercialeOpérations sur titresPolitiquePolitique américaineGéopolitiqueChineEurope2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 97.8%
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
18 janv. 26, 15:37 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the United States of America acquire Greenland by Dec. 31 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow much will the US acquire Greenland for?
KalshiWhat countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump say Iceland should be a part of the USA before 2029?
Manifold MarketsUS and EU form transatlantic superstate by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill post-WWII international orders die before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if the United States acquires sovereignty over Greenland before January 1, 2027.
- Acquisition must be formally recognized through one of the following: (1) a binding international agreement transferring sovereignty from Denmark to the U.S., (2) Greenlandic independence followed by a binding agreement transferring sovereignty to the U.S., or (3) effective U.S. military control and international recognition of U.S. sovereignty.
- The resolution will be determined by official statements from the U.S. State Department, Danish government, Greenlandic government, and/or UN recognition of territorial status.
- Trump has announced he would institute "very high" tariffs against Denmark if it resisted attempts to make Greenland a U.S. territory, and refused to rule out economic or military action against Denmark.
- Trump announced a 10% tariff on Denmark and seven other European countries, with duties increasing to 25% by June 1 if a deal is not reached.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Will the US take control of any part of Greenland? · Before January 21, 2029 23%
- Également disponible sur Manifold Markets — Will Greenland become part of the US by the end of Trump’s term? · No 95%
- Également disponible sur Limitless — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No 55%
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No 97%
