Will Greenland become part of the US by the end of Trump’s term?
Opérations sur titresOne-OffPolitiquePolitique américaineGéopolitiqueRussie / Ukraine2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 95%
Prévisionnistes
41
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète8 mars 25, 13:25 UTC21 janv. 29, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Kim Jong-Un visit the US during Trump's term?
KalshiWill Andrew Tate get a government position in the US during Trump's term?
Manifold MarketsWill any portion of Greenland become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExWill Trump declare a state no longer part of the US?
Manifold MarketsWill Frederiksen/Denmark buy or acquire part of the US?
Manifold MarketsWill a major terrorist attack with over 100 casualties be committed against the US during Trump's current term?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Greenland is currently an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark with a population of about 56,000 people.
- The island has strategic importance due to its location in the Arctic, mineral resources, and potential shipping routes as polar ice melts.
- In 2019, former U.S. President Donald Trump expressed interest in purchasing Greenland, which was firmly rejected by both Danish and Greenlandic officials.
- Recent polling shows that approximately 85% of Greenlanders oppose becoming part of the United States, with only 6% in favor and 9% undecided.
- Greenland's government has consistently stated that the territory is "not for sale and never will be for sale."
- The United States maintains a military presence in Greenland at Thule Air Base, established during the Cold War.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Will the US take control of any part of Greenland? · Before January 21, 2029 20%
- Également disponible sur Manifold Markets — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No 98%
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No 97%
- Également disponible sur Limitless — Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No 55%
