Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 92%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 21 minutes
14 janv. 26, 02:42 UTC20 janv. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Greenland become part of the US by the end of Trump’s term?
Manifold MarketsWill Frederiksen/Denmark buy or acquire part of the US?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump declare a national emergency related to elections before the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump declare federal Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)?
Manifold MarketsWill France declare a state of emergency?
KalshiWill Colombia declare a state of internal commotion in 2026?
FutuurRègles
Tump has a habit of declaring things on social media that may or may not be true and may or may not happen.
- Before the end of his term, will he declare a state to not be part of the US.
- It has to be more forceful than just saying that the people in the state aren't even Americans.
- I won't bet on this market
