Will Trump declare federal Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)?
One-OffUS PoliticsPolitique2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 75%
Prévisionnistes
43
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète4 févr. 24, 22:45 UTC1 févr. 29, 10:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PredictItRègles
Martial Law following definitions laid out here.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Martial_law_in_the_United_States?wprov=sfla1
- This question is only about nationwide martial law, not about a local or isolated martial law declaration in one city or one state.
- There might be a situation where enough states are in martial law for it to de facto count as federal (e.g. all states of the contiguous United States).
- I'll let the comment section decide in that edge case.
- If trump declares martial law in only words, but doesn't act upon it.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump declare federal Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 75% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump declare federal Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump declare federal Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)? doit être résolu le 1 février 2029.
- Comment Will Trump declare federal Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Martial Law following definitions laid out here.