Will Trump say Iceland should be a part of the USA before 2029?
Politique commercialeOne-OffPolitique américaineGéopolitiqueEuropePolitiqueOpérations sur titresÉlection2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 58.6%
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 23 minutes
18 janv. 26, 00:23 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Trump publicly states that Iceland should be a part of the USA before January 1, 2029.
- This includes statements made in speeches, press conferences, social media posts, interviews, or official communications.
- The statement must explicitly indicate that Iceland should become part of the United States (e.g., "Iceland should be a U.S. state," "we should acquire Iceland," or similar language).
- Trump's nominee for ambassador to Iceland joked with lawmakers that Iceland will become the 52nd U.S. state, signaling the administration's broader interest in Arctic territories.
- Iceland is situated along the GIUK Gap, a strategic chokepoint for surveillance in the Arctic region whose name references the first letters of Greenland, Iceland, and the United Kingdom.
