Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
1.3 pts (24h)One-OffTrade PolicyPolitiqueUS Politics3mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before 2027 5%+1.3pt
Qualité du marché
74 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
523,4 €
Liquidité
961,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
4.0% / 5.4%
Écart
1.4 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
11 déc. 25, 22:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
If at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue is reported by any of the Source Agencies before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Wall Street JournalCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCThe GuardianSouth China Morning PostCBCABCBBCThe Washington PostThe VergeABC News Australia
- Clarification (12/18/25): For this market to resolve to Yes, a Source Agency must report that at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue.
- A Source Agency writing that someone (e.g., the President) claimed the payments are from tariff revenue does not satisfy this requirement.
- The Source Agency must report it as fact, not as a claim made by another party.
- For example, "Millions of Americans received payments this week, which were funded by tariff revenue" would qualify, whereas "Trump said the payments received yesterday are funded by tariff revenue" would not qualify.
- If at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue is reported by any of the Source Agencies before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
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Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks? ?
- Kalshi cote Before 2027 à 5% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue is reported by any of the Source Agencies before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.