KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleBefore 2027 7%+0.2%En tête parmi 4 options
Qualite du marche
100 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
5,2 k €
Liquidité
1 M €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
7.2% / 7.3%
Spread
1.4%
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 27 minutes
11 déc. 25, 22:001 janv. 27, 4:59
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Before 20277%
Grosses transactions
$9.9k99.4%KALSHIBefore August — No-14 j
KALSHIBefore August — No-14 j$2.1k98.7%KALSHIBefore August — No-21 j
KALSHIBefore August — No-21 jTendance du volume
$5.9k2 juil.25j de données26 juil.
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?
0 €Oui: 43%KALSHI
KALSHI
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
873,5 €$0 / No Acquisition: 81%KALSHI
KALSHI
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
136,1 €India: 22%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
$100k fee imposed on H1B Visas?
66,9 €Oui: 12%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by which date?
4,4 €December 31,: 64%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Trump’s 50% tariffs on Canada take effect August 19?
4,2 €Oui: 35%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Russia’s parliament passes crypto market law with $3,800 annual cap for retail investorsCoindesk
Russia is legalizing crypto for everyone except RussiansCrypto NewsRègles
If at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue is reported by any of the Source Agencies before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Clarification (12/18/25): For this market to resolve to Yes, a Source Agency must report that at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue.
- A Source Agency writing that someone (e.g., the President) claimed the payments are from tariff revenue does not satisfy this requirement.
- The Source Agency must report it as fact, not as a claim made by another party.
- For example, "Millions of Americans received payments this week, which were funded by tariff revenue" would qualify, whereas "Trump said the payments received yesterday are funded by tariff revenue" would not qualify.
- If at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue is reported by any of the Source Agencies before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.