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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
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  3. What will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")
Manifold Markets

What will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")

baseTrade PolicyOne-OffUS PoliticsIAGéopolitique2a
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSans KYC
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Manifold Markets
~50% or more of Americans receive it by end 2026 15%
En tête parmi 18 options
Prévisionnistes

101

Type de question

multiple choice

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour hier

Obsolète
9 nov. 25, 21:2322 janv. 29, 7:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

~50% or more of Americans receive it by end 202615%

Règles

[image](Forbes article about his post)

Manifold Markets
  • Will it happen? If it does what will be true?
  • For ease of common parlance, "stimulus check" in this market is referring to the "dividends" of his post.
  • If this becomes a completely unsustainable metaphor, some answers may need to resolve or be rewritten.
  • Will resolve to best reporting, at latest by the end of his time in office or within a few months after the checks go out to let news stories shake loose.
  • If the check doesn't materialize before he leaves office, answers that are able to will resolve to YES or NO rather than N/A.

Actifs Sensibles au Macro

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Actifs dans ces sujets

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Actualités Associées

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsAnthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsFormer Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsTrump adviser Patrick Witt backs sweeping crypto tax billsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto News

Règles

[image](Forbes article about his post)

Manifold Markets
  • Will it happen? If it does what will be true?
  • For ease of common parlance, "stimulus check" in this market is referring to the "dividends" of his post.
  • If this becomes a completely unsustainable metaphor, some answers may need to resolve or be rewritten.
  • Will resolve to best reporting, at latest by the end of his time in office or within a few months after the checks go out to let news stories shake loose.
  • If the check doesn't materialize before he leaves office, answers that are able to will resolve to YES or NO rather than N/A.