Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 92%
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète24 janv. 26, 14:35 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?
KalshiWhen will the US cut the 50% aluminum tariff on Canada?
KalshiWhat will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")
Manifold MarketsWill Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
KalshiTrump announces Canada tariff decrease by which date?
PolymarketUS effective tariff rate for Q3 2026
KalshiRègles
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if President Trump imposes a 100% tariff on the majority of all Canadian imports.
- Resolution will be determined by official U.S. government announcements, executive orders, or proclamations published on the White House website or Federal Register.
- The tariff must be formally implemented and take effect to resolve YES.
- If Trump threatens but does not implement a 100% tariff, or implements a rate below 100%, the market resolves NO.
- On January 24, 2026, Trump threatened to impose a 100% tariff on all Canadian imports if Canada makes a trade deal with China.