Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?
26.0 pts (24h)Trade PolicyOne-OffGéopolitique3mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 68%-26.0pt
Qualité du marché
37 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
204,1 €
Liquidité
111,6 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
14.0% / 50.0%
Écart
36.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+26.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
25 août 26, 22:45 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Canada, through an authorized representative of either the federal government or a provincial government, including through a state-owned enterprise, announces that it is using its authority to cut off or throttle the exportation of electricity, in whole or in part, to the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Reductions or curtailments attributable to water or supply conditions, grid reliability, maintenance, commercial or contractual factors, or other ordinary-course operational decisions will not qualify.
- An announcement of a qualifying action will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether electricity exports are actually throttled or cut off, and regardless of whether the action is subsequently suspended or reversed.
- A qualifying action must restrict the volume or flow of electricity exports.
- The imposition of surcharges, taxes, tariffs, or other price-based measures alone will not be sufficient to qualify.
