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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Trade Policy
  3. Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?
Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?

Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?

1.0% (24h)Trade PolicyOne-OffUS PoliticsLatin America6mo
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027 60%-1.0%
En tête parmi 3 options
Qualite du marche

28 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

4,9 €

Liquidité

366,6 €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

57.0% / 62.0%

Spread

8.8%

Spread large
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes

17 mars 26, 14:001 janv. 27, 4:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité
Before May 1, 2026
Before May 1, 2026
0%

Résultat choisi

Before Jan 1, 202760%

Règles

If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.
  • Cuba must also acknowledge the agreement.
  • A mere declaration of intent to start negotiations or "explore a trade deal" is not sufficient.
  • If the U.S. and Cuba are part of a multilateral trade agreement announced within the timeframe, it is included.
  • If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

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Before 2027: 11%KalshiKALSHI
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$0 / No Acquisition: 81%KalshiKALSHI
Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Jun 2026?

Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Jun 2026?

0,4 €
Oui: 20%KalshiKALSHI

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,646.85+2.32%EthereumETH$1,650.02+1.66%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.70%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.85%XRPXRP$1.12+0.41%BNBBNB$595.02+1.72%

Actualités Associées

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Règles

If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.
  • Cuba must also acknowledge the agreement.
  • A mere declaration of intent to start negotiations or "explore a trade deal" is not sufficient.
  • If the U.S. and Cuba are part of a multilateral trade agreement announced within the timeframe, it is included.
  • If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.