Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?
8.0 pts (24h)Trade PolicyOne-OffUS PoliticsLatin America3mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 1, 2027 18%+8.0pt
Qualité du marché
55 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
113,4 €
Liquidité
41,4 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
12.0% / 16.0%
Écart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
17 mars 26, 14:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?
KalshiWill Trump announce a new trade deal in Sep 2026?
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PolymarketUS military action against Cuba by which date?
PolymarketWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?
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PolymarketRègles
If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.
- Cuba must also acknowledge the agreement.
- A mere declaration of intent to start negotiations or "explore a trade deal" is not sufficient.
- If the U.S. and Cuba are part of a multilateral trade agreement announced within the timeframe, it is included.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Jan 1, 2027 à 18% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the United States announces a new free trade agreement, multilateral trade agreement, trade framework, or economic cooperation arrangement with Cuba the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.