PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 92.1%
Qualité du marché
68 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
220 €
Liquidité
8,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
7.0% / 8.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
1
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
10 sept. 26, 16:32 UTC1 avr. 27, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketWill Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself?
KalshiWill Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?
KalshiWill Trump issue dividend payments in 2026?
KalshiWhat will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")
Manifold MarketsUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration formally creates a general dividend, rebate, or stimulus payment meeting the criteria below by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whether by signing federal legislation, by executive action, or by any other official mechanism.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Any bill enacted into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.
- To qualify, the payment must be for an amount of at least $5,000 per recipient and must be distributed to a broad segment of individual US taxpayers.
- A payment is "broad" if eligibility for it extends to at least a majority (50%) of U.S. individual taxpayers, or if eligibility is limited only by general income thresholds and/or household or filing status rather than by any narrower category.
- The payment must be established as a new, distinct dividend, rebate, or stimulus payment.