KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesPrix non significatif
Données au 8 sept. 2026, 18:40 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 100%
Qualité du marché
34 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueAchat / Vente
19.0% / 28.0%
Écart
9.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
24 août 26, 21:00 UTC2 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
100%
0%
Règles
If the United States has in effect tariffs of 50% on Canadian cars, trucks, automotive parts and steel after Issuance and before Jan 2, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCBBCThe GuardianABC News AustraliaSouth China Morning PostCBCThe VergeFederal Register
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
- Tariffs are in effect when a presidential proclamation, executive order or Federal Register notice is legally in force and being applied to imports.
- An announcement, including a social media post, and an order signed but not yet effective, do NOT count The tariff must be in force at 50% on ALL of cars, trucks, automotive parts and steel.
Marchés ouverts
Trade PolicyKALSHISouth Carolina ports total container volume in 2026
- Above 2.2 million TEUs94%
- Above 2.3 million TEUs84%
- Above 2.4 million TEUs56%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 13,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 4,7 k €
POLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 3156.5%
- October 3130.6%
- September 30+3.0pt13%
+1 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 307%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?
- Canadian aircraft+11.0pt35%
- Wind turbines23%
- Critical minerals-29.0pt11%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 25,3 k €
POLYMARKETWill Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
- No+4.0pt77%
- Yes-4.0pt23%
- Volume total
- 17,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 556,6 €
KALSHIWill Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- Yes-5.0pt72%
- No28%
- Volume total
- 1,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 543,1 €
- Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by which date?
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?
- Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026?
- How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- Will Trump formalize a 100% tariff on generic drugs before the midterms?
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by which date?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- US charges Hormuz fees by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour 50% tariffs on Canadian autos and steel in effect? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 100% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand 50% tariffs on Canadian autos and steel in effect? sera-t-il résolu ?
- 50% tariffs on Canadian autos and steel in effect? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2027.
- Comment 50% tariffs on Canadian autos and steel in effect? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the United States has in effect tariffs of 50% on Canadian cars, trucks, automotive parts and steel after Issuance and before Jan 2, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.