US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?
6.5 pts (24h)Trade PolicyOne-OffGéopolitique10j
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Données au 21 août 2026, 17:40 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 61%+6.5pt
Qualite du marche
52 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,5 k €
Liquidité
504,7 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
58.0% / 64.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Spread largeComments
2
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
18 août 26, 20:2431 août 26, 23:59
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a diplomatic agreement between the United States and Canada to lower US tariffs on Canada is announced by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- A diplomatic agreement to lower US tariffs on Canada refers to an official agreement, treaty, deal, or substantially similar diplomatic instrument that commits or obligates the United States to lower any tariffs on Canada, or includes the lowering of US tariffs on Canada as part of its stated terms.
- Any reduction, revocation, or suspension of US tariffs on Canada, or the cancelled or suspended implementation of previously announced tariffs not yet effective, mutually announced as part of a diplomatic agreement, will qualify as lowering tariffs.
- All listed countries must announce their acceptance of the same qualifying diplomatic agreement.
- A joint announcement will qualify, as will separate announcements from each entity of its own acceptance of an agreement which, taken together, directly indicate that all the listed countries accepted the same agreement.
- Separate announcements of individual policies will not qualify if the policies are not announced as part of a diplomatic agreement.
