Will Trump issue dividend payments?
1.0 pts (24h)Politique commercialeOne-OffPolitique américaine2mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Before Apr 1, 2027 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Before Apr 1, 2027 22.5%
Before Apr 1, 2027 22.5%Qualité du marché
64 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,6 k €
Intérêt ouvert
38,7 k $US
Intérêt ouvert élevéAchat / Vente
— / —
Before Apr 1, 2027Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 32 minutes
10 sept. 26, 03:30 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before Apr 1, 2027
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
If it is reported by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027 that at least 1,000,000 people have each been issued at least $100 in payments under the same new federal program for the general public presented by the Trump administration as a dividend, rebate, or equivalent return of government revenue or savings, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify, unless the new article itself explicitly reaffirms the truth of the topic as of the publication date. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. Qualifying payments require: At least $100 issued to each of at least 1,000,000 actual recipients under the same program. Payments to the same person may be combined. Checks dispatched, electronic transfers released, or equivalent spendable monetary payments issued. Recipients need not cash their checks. The following do NOT qualify: Announcements, authorizations, planned payments, or counts of eligible people without actual issuance. Routine federal benefits or ordinary tax refunds; ACA or other healthcare reimbursement rebates; importer tariff refunds; child Trump Account deposits; private gifts; stock dividends; or non-monetary distributions. Changes to the program name, payment amount, eligibility, funding source, spending restrictions, or political conditions do not disqualify a program that meets these requirements.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If it is reported by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027 that at least 1,000,000 people have each been issued at least $100 in payments under the same new federal program for the general public presented by the Trump administration as a dividend, rebate, or equivalent return of government revenue or savings, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If it is reported by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027 that at least 1,000,000 people have each been issued at least $100 in payments under the same new federal program for the general public presented by the Trump administration as a dividend, rebate, or equivalent return of government revenue or savings, then the market resolves to Yes.