KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréCe marché est fermé et en attente d'une résolution confirmée.
En attente d'une résolution vérifiée
CoinRithm attend un règlement confirmé par le fournisseur avant de traiter ce marché comme résolu.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 1, 2027 80%En tête parmi 5 options
Before Jan 1, 2027 80%Qualité du marché
29 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Intérêt ouvert
3,6 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
8 sept. 26, 22:00 UTC1 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Before Jan 1, 202780%
Before Dec 1, 202675%
Before Nov 1, 202615%
Before Apr 1, 20270%
Before Oct 1, 2026Perdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a PS5 cost >%10 more to US consumers as a result of tariffs before the 2026 US midterms?
Manifold MarketsUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
PolymarketWill the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026?
KalshiWill the U.S. lower its 50% tariffs on Canadian goods before November 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the United States impose additional tariffs on EU by December 31, 2026?
ForecastExWill the United States impose additional tariffs on South Korea by December 31, 2026?
ForecastExRègles
La règle exacte de ce résultat n'est pas disponible.
Règlement via:Prime Minister of Canada
- Only reporting from the Prime Minister of Canada qualifies for the purposes of this market. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. The publication must expressly commit Canada to reduce, remove, or suspend an existing Canadian tariff on U.S. goods. It must be an official speech, statement, or press release issued personally or in the prime minister's name. A specified future effective date qualifies. Minister- or agency-only announcements, negotiating objectives, noncommittal statements of intent that do not expressly commit Canada, general aspirations, preliminary discussions, threats, conditional proposals, and the automatic activation or expiry of a previously announced measure do NOT qualify. A new decision reversing an earlier tariff policy qualifies only if it reduces, removes, or suspends an existing tariff. Reports merely referencing publications before Issuance do NOT qualify unless they explicitly reaffirm a qualifying new decision made after Issuance.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If the Prime Minister of Canada has personally and officially announced a new decision made after Issuance committing Canada to reduce, remove, or suspend an existing Canadian tariff on U.S. goods after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If the Prime Minister of Canada has personally and officially announced a new decision made after Issuance committing Canada to reduce, remove, or suspend an existing Canadian tariff on U.S. goods after Issuance and before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If the Prime Minister of Canada has personally and officially announced a new decision made after Issuance committing Canada to reduce, remove, or suspend an existing Canadian tariff on U.S. goods after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If the Prime Minister of Canada has personally and officially announced a new decision made after Issuance committing Canada to reduce, remove, or suspend an existing Canadian tariff on U.S. goods after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If the Prime Minister of Canada has personally and officially announced a new decision made after Issuance committing Canada to reduce, remove, or suspend an existing Canadian tariff on U.S. goods after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.