KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above $80 billion 98%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualité du marché
43 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
3 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
5.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 minutes
13 févr. 26, 15:00 UTC1 juin 27, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
PolymarketWill Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
KalshiWhen will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
KalshiWhich sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?
KalshiTariff increase on Canada in effect by which date?
PolymarketWill the feed-in tariff (Einspeisevergütung) of small of small photovoltaics be repealed in Germany in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If US tariff revenue for 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:FRED
- If source agency data from FRED is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 7.2(b).
Marchés ouverts
Trade PolicyPOLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 31+8.0pt55.2%
- October 31+7.0pt32%
- September 30+2.0pt12.8%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 113,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 9,4 k €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt28%
- October 31+0.5pt13%
- September 30-0.5pt6%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHIWill Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- Yes+18.0pt93%
- No7%
- Volume total
- 6,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 4,3 k €
KALSHIWhat will Karoline Leavitt say during RNC Midterm Convention?
- Trump (3+ times)91%
- Republican80%
- Inflation59%
+15 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,1 k €
KALSHIHow much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- $0 / No Acquisition+1.0pt83.3%
- $10 billion to $99 billion4.9%
- $300 billion to $599 billion3.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,4 M €
POLYMARKETTrump meets with Mark Carney by which date?
- October 31+2.0pt56%
- September 30-14.0pt9%
- September 15-0.1pt1%
+1 résultats de plus
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?
- Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?
- When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
- Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by which date?
- US charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour US tariff revenue for 2026 ?
- Kalshi cote Above $80 billion à 98% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand US tariff revenue for 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- US tariff revenue for 2026 doit être résolu le 1 juin 2027.
- Comment US tariff revenue for 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If US tariff revenue for 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.