Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?
1.0 pts (24h)Trade PolicyOne-OffUS Politics3mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 91.1%+1.0pt
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
7,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
7.0% / 10.0%
Écart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-2.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
29 juin 26, 19:26 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.
- A qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.