KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleOui 79%
Qualite du marche
40 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
4 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
79.0% / 85.0%
Spread
7.6%
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 minutes
3 juin 26, 23:304 févr. 27, 13:29
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes79%
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Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement with China?
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Will the United States impose additional tariffs on China by December 31, 2026?
0 €Oui: 33%FORECASTEX
FORECASTEXActifs dans ces sujets
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If the the U.S. goods trade deficit with China for calendar year 2026 is below $150 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the calendar-year 2026 U.S. goods trade deficit with China, as calculated from the U.S.
- Census Bureau’s “Trade in Goods with China” table.
- For the purposes of this market, the deficit equals: 2026 imports from China minus 2026 exports to China
- The market resolves to Yes if that amount is less than $150 billion.
- The market resolves to No if that amount is greater than or equal to $150 billion.