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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Trade Policy
  3. Will Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?
Will Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?

Will Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?

Trade PolicyOne-OffUS PoliticsChina7mo
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui
Oui 0%
Qualite du marche

24 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidité

0 €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

79.0% / 86.0%

Spread

8.9%

Spread large
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes

3 juin 26, 23:304 févr. 27, 13:29

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité
Oui
Oui
0%
Non
Non
100%

Résultat choisi

Yes0%

Règles

If the the U.S. goods trade deficit with China for calendar year 2026 is below $150 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The Underlying is the calendar-year 2026 U.S. goods trade deficit with China, as calculated from the U.S.
  • Census Bureau’s “Trade in Goods with China” table.
  • For the purposes of this market, the deficit equals: 2026 imports from China minus 2026 exports to China
  • The market resolves to Yes if that amount is less than $150 billion.
  • The market resolves to No if that amount is greater than or equal to $150 billion.

Marchés Associés

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

891,5 €
Oui: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

177,9 €
Oui: 4%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China?

Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China?

0 €
Oui: 34%KalshiKALSHI
US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

477,7 €
Oui: 5%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
What will the US tariff rate on India be on July 1?

What will the US tariff rate on India be on July 1?

1,3 €
Below 10%: 18%KalshiKALSHI
What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?

What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?

0,3 €
Between 10% and 19.99%: 81%KalshiKALSHI

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,654.90+2.25%EthereumETH$1,650.86+1.58%SolanaSOL$65.15+1.62%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.66%XRPXRP$1.12+0.36%BNBBNB$595.23+1.67%

Actualités Associées

Former Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto NewsTrump adviser Patrick Witt backs sweeping crypto tax billsCrypto NewsPentagon adds Alibaba, Baidu and BYD to China’s military-linked list Crypto NewsU.S. judge blocks Trump’s $100,000 H-1B visa fee after state challengeCrypto NewsTrump walks out of interview after clash over election fraud claims Crypto NewsCongress nears final vote on $70 billion immigration funding packageCrypto News

Règles

If the the U.S. goods trade deficit with China for calendar year 2026 is below $150 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The Underlying is the calendar-year 2026 U.S. goods trade deficit with China, as calculated from the U.S.
  • Census Bureau’s “Trade in Goods with China” table.
  • For the purposes of this market, the deficit equals: 2026 imports from China minus 2026 exports to China
  • The market resolves to Yes if that amount is less than $150 billion.
  • The market resolves to No if that amount is greater than or equal to $150 billion.