PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleOui 89%+0.0%
Qualite du marche
91 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
680,1 €
Liquidité
29,3 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
87.9% / 89.1%
Spread
1.4%
Spread serréVariation 7j
+4.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
29 mai 26, 13:1431 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes89%
Tendance du volume
$7743 juil.24j de données26 juil.
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
US x China tariff agreement by July 31?
108,3 €Oui: 2%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by which date?
4,4 €December 31,: 64%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement with China?
0 €Oui: 19%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?
0 €Oui: 79%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
27,9 €Oui: 63%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What will the tariff rate on EU imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
0,9 €10% or above: 79%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Russia’s parliament passes crypto market law with $3,800 annual cap for retail investorsCoindesk
Russia is legalizing crypto for everyone except RussiansCrypto NewsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
- Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
- The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
- Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.