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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Trade Policy
  3. US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

One-OffTrade PolicyChina6mo
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui
Oui 75%
Qualite du marche

68 / 100

Qualité moyenne
Volume 24h

247 €

Liquidité

12,4 k €

Liquidité moyenne
Achat / Vente

73.0% / 77.0%

Spread

5.5%

Spread modéré
Variation 7j

+4.0%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes

29 mai 26, 13:2231 déc. 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Yes75%

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
  • The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
  • Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.

Actifs Sensibles au Macro

BitcoinBTC$62,667.07+2.15%EthereumETH$1,649.01+1.30%SolanaSOL$65.01+1.40%

Marchés Associés

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

891,5 €
Oui: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

477,7 €
Oui: 5%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

177,9 €
Oui: 4%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
What will the US tariff rate on India be on July 1?

What will the US tariff rate on India be on July 1?

1,3 €
Below 10%: 18%KalshiKALSHI
What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?

What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?

0,3 €
Between 10% and 19.99%: 81%KalshiKALSHI
What will the US tariff rate on Canada be on July 1?

What will the US tariff rate on Canada be on July 1?

0,1 €
Below 10%: 19%KalshiKALSHI

Actifs dans ces sujets

DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.54%XRPXRP$1.12+0.30%BNBBNB$594.83+1.58%CardanoADA$0.1659+3.45%HyperliquidHYPE$55.59+0.32%LitecoinLTC$42.62+0.30%

Actualités Associées

Chinese Man Gets 10+ Years for Stealing 107 BTC Using Memorized KeyBlockchain.NewsPentagon adds Alibaba, Baidu and BYD to China’s military-linked list Crypto NewsNvidia’s CEO declines Senate testimony on China’s AI chip businessCrypto NewsChina warns developers over overseas AI relay servicesCrypto NewsChina court treats Bitcoin as property in 107 BTC theft caseCrypto NewsChinese court treats Bitcoin as property in 107 BTC memory theft caseCointelegraph

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
  • The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
  • Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.