Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 23 oct. 2026, 22:27 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleBefore 2035 44.2%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
58
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète20 août 23, 15:18 UTC2 janv. 00, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What will be the most numerous type of fusion power plant in 2100?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the first to add commercially viable nuclear fusion energy to their power grid?
Manifold MarketsBy Dec 31, 2035, will any nuclear fusion power plant have delivered at least 100 MW of net electrical power, 30 day ave.
Manifold MarketsWhich country will produce the first >1GW nuclear fusion power plant to return energy back to the grid?
Manifold MarketsWill Helion Energy have a power plant in operation by the end of 2028?
ForecastExWhen will nuclear fusion be achieved?
KalshiRègles
For decades, nuclear fusion was always "20 years away".
- Now it's time to settle the debate here! Will it ever happen, and when?
- I've opted for a range instead of a specific year, but you can specify the exact year in the comments below if you want.
- I've also allowed for adding new answers later for this poll, so if you think additional options need to be added, let me know!
- Will resolve when either of the following conditions are met:
- The first commercial nuclear fusion power station is built.
