Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleBefore 2035 44.2%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
58
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète20 août 23, 15:18 UTC2 janv. 00, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0.4%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What will be the most numerous type of fusion power plant in 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill Helion provide nuclear fusion power to a data center before end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill fusion power be commercially available by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Helion Energy have a power plant in operation by the end of 2028?
ForecastExWhen will nuclear fusion be achieved?
KalshiWill Base launch a token by ___ ?
PolymarketRègles
For decades, nuclear fusion was always "20 years away".
- Now it's time to settle the debate here! Will it ever happen, and when?
- I've opted for a range instead of a specific year, but you can specify the exact year in the comments below if you want.
- I've also allowed for adding new answers later for this poll, so if you think additional options need to be added, let me know!
- Will resolve when either of the following conditions are met:
- The first commercial nuclear fusion power station is built.
Marchés ouverts
basePOLYMARKETWill Base launch a token by ___ ?
- December 31, 202754.3%
- June 30, 202736.2%
- December 31, 20268.6%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 16,2 k €
POLYMARKETBase FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $500M59%
- $1B-0.5pt50%
- $2B43%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 644,8 k €
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many Traders will my 2026 Spotify Market get?
- 70+100%
- 80+100%
- 90+100%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 58,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 9,5 k €
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?
- United States11.7%
- France5.5%
- Canada4.5%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 3,6 k €
- Volume 24h
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2030?
- 2.00% to 2.75%21.8%
- 3.00% to 3.75%21.8%
- 4.00% to 4.75%16.5%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 203,9 €
- Volume 24h
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich country will the Chagos Islands belong to on 31 December 2049?
- Mauritius46.9%
- United Kingdom25.7%
- United States10%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- What share of global energy will come from nuclear power?
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- If AI wipes out humanity, which organization(s) will be primarily responsible for the development of this AI?
- Will there be at least one Bank of England Base Rate increase before the end of 2026?
- Before when will Gateway be cancelled/abandoned?
- Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 1500 by the end of 2026? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
- How will the U.S. take Greenland? [Ind MC]
- Will there be a moon base by 2030?
- How many people will attend Slutcon 2026?
- What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2027
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Before 2035 à 44% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2100.
- Comment When will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : For decades, nuclear fusion was always "20 years away".