Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle101-150 39.3%En tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
49
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète5 nov. 25, 0:1031 déc. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Règles
How many attendee tickets will we sell for Slutcon 2026? (after refunds) Last year we sold ~120-125 or so.
- Next year we plan on keeping ticket prices the same (1k, 3k, and 9k) though with likely fewer earlybird and possibly more latecomer tickets.
- Final number for resolution will not count volunteers, staff, performers, or presenters.
- We'll base it off names counted at checkin.
- We are not including partygoers for After Dark.
- If for some reason SC 2026 doesn't happen, will resolve this market n/a
Marchés ouverts
base
POLYMARKETWill Base launch a token by ___ ?
- December 31, 202756.4%
- June 30, 2027-3.5pt37.6%
- December 31, 20265.9%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 3,5 k €
POLYMARKETBase FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $500M+1.0pt59%
- $1B-2.0pt50%
- $2B44%
+7 résultats de plus
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich Model numbers will OpenAI release as a flagship before adding a letter (e.g. ‘o’ in 4o, o1)
- 5.4100%
- 5.5100%
- 5.6100%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 158,1 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill there be at least one Bank of England Base Rate increase before the end of 2026?
- No53%
- Yes47%
- Volume total
- 523,2 €
- Volume 24h
- 15,9 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSBefore when will Gateway be cancelled/abandoned?
- 202798.2%
- 202898%
- 202997.6%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 1500 by the end of 2026? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
- No98.1%
- Yes1.9%
- Volume total
- 35,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- —
- How will the U.S. take Greenland? [Ind MC]
- Will there be a moon base by 2030?
- What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2027
- Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?
- If X is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency?
- Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?
- Where will I live in October 2026?
- What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2028?
- How many Traders will my 2026 Spotify Market get?
- Price of Apple M5 Ultra Studio 512gb on Release in 2026
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How many people will attend Slutcon 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote 101-150 à 39% au 3 septembre 2026.
- Quand How many people will attend Slutcon 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How many people will attend Slutcon 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment How many people will attend Slutcon 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : How many attendee tickets will we sell for Slutcon 2026? (after refunds) Last year we sold ~120-125 or so.