Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle2100 28.5%En tête parmi 12 options
Prévisionnistes
32
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard27 nov. 23, 12:11 UTC1 janv. 01, 12:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What share of global energy will come from renewables (excluding nuclear)?
Manifold MarketsWill non-carbon-polluting energies represent 50% of the global energy production by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWhen will global energy consumption exceed 200 thousand TWh?
Manifold MarketsWill global energy consumption exceed 50,000 terawatt-hours in 2040?
Manifold MarketsUS share of global GDP in 2026
KalshiWill any country become a new nuclear power in 2026?
FutuurRègles
Resolved to the % of energy from nuclear power for each year, including fusion, according to our world in data:
- https://ourworldindata.org/energy-production-consumption
- [image](I will calculate the % base on the numbers in this graph)
- Note that electricity was only about 20% of global energy use in 2022 (https://yearbook.enerdata.net/electricity/share-electricity-final-consumption.html)
- If our world in data does not refresh their data I will propose and select another resolution source.
- I will not trade in the market.
