Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle70+ 100%En tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
26
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+0.2 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète13 mai 26, 23:17 UTC31 déc. 26, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
100%
100%
100%
100%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
PolymarketWill 0x53a125F03c90B8E07BA50356B312F4b7b9bA47A7 REACH more than 267.8431 USDC on Base by September 14th 11:59 pm UTC
Manifold MarketsBase FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketPrice of Apple M5 Ultra Studio 512gb on Release in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill NASA start building a moon base before 2036?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a moon base by 2030?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Spotify Market: https://manifold.markets/Base/who-will-be-my-most-streamed-spotif-z5QI2QIUtN
- I will do no trades.
Marchés ouverts
basePOLYMARKETWill Base launch a token by ___ ?
- December 31, 2027-3.0pt55.6%
- June 30, 202735.2%
- December 31, 20268.3%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,6 k €
POLYMARKETBase FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $500M-0.5pt59%
- $1B-3.0pt46%
- $2B43%
+7 résultats de plus
MANIFOLD MARKETSPrice of Apple M5 Ultra Studio 512gb on Release in 2026
- $12,000-$13,999+7.5pt32.2%
- $14,000-$15,999+4.1pt18.1%
- $10,000-$11,999+3.7pt16.9%
+3 résultats de plus
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
- No94.4%
- Yes5.6%
- Volume total
- 80,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many regular-season wins will the New York Giants have in the 2026 NFL season under Jim Harbaugh?
- 5–7 wins40.2%
- 8-9 wins30.2%
- 10-11 wins13.2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 97,2 €
- Volume 24h
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich job should I accept? [M$10,000 subsidy]
- If I accept the Penguin job, at what will I rate my overall life satisfaction in 2 years, on a scale of 0-100?79.6%
- If I accept the Penguin job, will I believe it to have been the correct decision in 6 months?74.6%
- If I accept the Penguin job, will I believe it to have been the correct decision in 4 years?63.9%
+3 résultats de plus
- When will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built?
- What is the base of the next nice number?
- What countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?
- What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2030?
- Which country will the Chagos Islands belong to on 31 December 2049?
- What share of global energy will come from nuclear power?
- Will NASA start building a moon base before 2036?
- If AI wipes out humanity, which organization(s) will be primarily responsible for the development of this AI?
- Will there be at least one Bank of England Base Rate increase before the end of 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How many Traders will my 2026 Spotify Market get? ?
- Manifold Markets cote 70+ à 100% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand How many Traders will my 2026 Spotify Market get? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How many Traders will my 2026 Spotify Market get? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment How many Traders will my 2026 Spotify Market get? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Spotify Market: https://manifold.markets/Base/who-will-be-my-most-streamed-spotif-z5QI2QIUtN