Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Mauritius 46.9%En tête parmi 8 options
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète7 févr. 25, 21:41 UTC1 janv. 50, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
US in control of Chagos Islands by end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump announce an acquisition of part of the Chagos Islands before 2027?
PolymarketIf elected, will Graham Platner vote more like John Fetterman or Elizabeth Warren?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")
Manifold MarketsWill Base launch a token by ___ ?
PolymarketBase FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketRègles
The Chagos Islands (also called the Chagos Archipelago) are a group of islands in the Indian Ocean, the largest of which is Diego Garcia.
- The islands are currently controlled by the the named outcome as part of the British Indian Ocean Territory, but have been claimed by Mauritius since it gained independence from Britain in 1968; this claim has been supported by various international courts and organisations, including the ICJ.
- Diego Garcia is home to Naval Support Facility Diego Garcia, a British base leased to the the named outcome.
- In 2024, Britain announced a deal to transfer sovereignty of the islands the Mauritius; the deal proved controversial for various reasons, and there is speculation that the the named outcome under Donald Trump will veto it.
- This market will resolve to the country or countries that the islands officially belong to on 31 December 2049; if different islands are controlled by different countries, the market will resolve evenly to them (except for "the named outcome", which will resolve NO unless it is the case for all the islands).
- What matters is who officially owns the islands, not who has claims on it or leases any land on them.
Marchés ouverts
basePOLYMARKETWill Base launch a token by ___ ?
- December 31, 2027-1.0pt53.9%
- June 30, 202736.5%
- December 31, 20268.7%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,8 k €
POLYMARKETBase FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $500M59%
- $1B50%
- $2B43%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 644,7 k €
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many Traders will my 2026 Spotify Market get?
- 70+100%
- 80+100%
- 90+100%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 58,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,1 k €
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
- No94.4%
- Yes5.6%
- Volume total
- 80,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many regular-season wins will the New York Giants have in the 2026 NFL season under Jim Harbaugh?
- 5–7 wins40.2%
- 8-9 wins30.2%
- 10-11 wins13.2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 97,2 €
- Volume 24h
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich job should I accept? [M$10,000 subsidy]
- If I accept the Penguin job, at what will I rate my overall life satisfaction in 2 years, on a scale of 0-100?79.6%
- If I accept the Penguin job, will I believe it to have been the correct decision in 6 months?74.6%
- If I accept the Penguin job, will I believe it to have been the correct decision in 4 years?63.9%
+3 résultats de plus
- When will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built?
- What is the base of the next nice number?
- What countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?
- What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2030?
- What share of global energy will come from nuclear power?
- Will NASA start building a moon base before 2036?
- If AI wipes out humanity, which organization(s) will be primarily responsible for the development of this AI?
- Will there be at least one Bank of England Base Rate increase before the end of 2026?
- Before when will Gateway be cancelled/abandoned?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which country will the Chagos Islands belong to on 31 December 2049? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Mauritius à 47% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which country will the Chagos Islands belong to on 31 December 2049? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which country will the Chagos Islands belong to on 31 December 2049? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2050.
- Comment Which country will the Chagos Islands belong to on 31 December 2049? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The Chagos Islands (also called the Chagos Archipelago) are a group of islands in the Indian Ocean, the largest of which is Diego Garcia.