Which country will the Chagos Islands belong to on 31 December 2049?
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Données au 24 oct. 2026, 05:13 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Mauritius 46.9%En tête parmi 8 options
Mauritius 46.9%Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
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Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète7 févr. 25, 21:41 UTC1 janv. 50, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRègles
The Chagos Islands (also called the Chagos Archipelago) are a group of islands in the Indian Ocean, the largest of which is Diego Garcia.
- The islands are currently controlled by the the named outcome as part of the British Indian Ocean Territory, but have been claimed by Mauritius since it gained independence from Britain in 1968; this claim has been supported by various international courts and organisations, including the ICJ.
- Diego Garcia is home to Naval Support Facility Diego Garcia, a British base leased to the the named outcome.
- In 2024, Britain announced a deal to transfer sovereignty of the islands the Mauritius; the deal proved controversial for various reasons, and there is speculation that the the named outcome under Donald Trump will veto it.
- This market will resolve to the country or countries that the islands officially belong to on 31 December 2049; if different islands are controlled by different countries, the market will resolve evenly to them (except for "the named outcome", which will resolve NO unless it is the case for all the islands).
- What matters is who officially owns the islands, not who has claims on it or leases any land on them.