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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Corporate Actions
  3. Will Trump announce an acquisition of part of the Chagos Islands before 2027?
Will Trump announce an acquisition of part of the Chagos Islands before 2027?

Will Trump announce an acquisition of part of the Chagos Islands before 2027?

Corporate ActionsOne-OffUS PoliticsGéopolitique
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui
Oui 23%
Qualite du marche

24 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidité

534,6 €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

15.0% / 31.0%

Spread

106.7%

Spread large
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 1 minute

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Yes23%

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that at least some territory on the Chagos Islands will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
  • Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of any of the Chagos Archipelago from either the United Kingdom or Mauritius to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
  • Basing rights, military leases, or access agreements alone do not constitute sovereignty transfer.
  • An official announcement made by the United States and either the United Kingdom or Mauritius that territory within the Chagos Archipelago will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur or if such announcement is pending ratification, parliamentary approval, or other conditional legislative steps.
  • Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.

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Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that at least some territory on the Chagos Islands will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
  • Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of any of the Chagos Archipelago from either the United Kingdom or Mauritius to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
  • Basing rights, military leases, or access agreements alone do not constitute sovereignty transfer.
  • An official announcement made by the United States and either the United Kingdom or Mauritius that territory within the Chagos Archipelago will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur or if such announcement is pending ratification, parliamentary approval, or other conditional legislative steps.
  • Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.