Will Trump announce an acquisition of part of the Chagos Islands before 2027?
Corporate ActionsOne-OffUS PoliticsGéopolitique
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 90.1%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
7,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
9.0% / 10.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+1.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which country will the Chagos Islands belong to on 31 December 2049?
Manifold MarketsUS in control of Chagos Islands by end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the UK–Mauritius Chagos sovereignty agreement signed on 22 May 2025 be ratified by 31 Dec 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will close Warner Bros. acquisition?
PolymarketWill Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
PolymarketMPS x Intesa Sanpaolo merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that at least some territory on the Chagos Islands will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of any of the Chagos Archipelago from either the United Kingdom or Mauritius to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
- Basing rights, military leases, or access agreements alone do not constitute sovereignty transfer.
- An official announcement made by the United States and either the United Kingdom or Mauritius that territory within the Chagos Archipelago will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur or if such announcement is pending ratification, parliamentary approval, or other conditional legislative steps.
- Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
