Prévision communautaire actuelle
If I accept the Penguin job, at what will I rate my overall life satisfaction in 2 years, on a scale of 0-100? 79.6%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
74
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète14 oct. 25, 19:05 UTC1 janv. 30, 19:01 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
I recently started looking for a more serious job, and I received two strong job offers that I now have to choose between.
- I'm seriously conflicted, so obviously I should turn to conditional prediction markets to make my decision for me.
- The first job, which I will refer to as "Genesis", (not their real name), is a support role for a market trading firm.
- Some coding, some research, helping design trading strategies, etc. Just doing whatever I'm needed for across several fields.
- The second job, which I will refer to as "Penguin", (not their real name either), is systems design work for a payment security firm.
- Some coding, but more high level pentesting-adjacent stuff; thinking about how their systems could be defeated and coming up with countermeasures.
Marchés ouverts
basePOLYMARKETWill Base launch a token by ___ ?
- December 31, 202754.3%
- June 30, 202736.2%
- December 31, 20268.6%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 16,2 k €
POLYMARKETBase FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $500M59%
- $1B-0.5pt50%
- $2B43%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 644,8 k €
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many Traders will my 2026 Spotify Market get?
- 70+100%
- 80+100%
- 90+100%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 58,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 9,5 k €
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?
- United States11.7%
- France5.5%
- Canada4.5%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 3,6 k €
- Volume 24h
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2030?
- 2.00% to 2.75%21.8%
- 3.00% to 3.75%21.8%
- 4.00% to 4.75%16.5%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 203,9 €
- Volume 24h
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich country will the Chagos Islands belong to on 31 December 2049?
- Mauritius46.9%
- United Kingdom25.7%
- United States10%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,3 k €
- Volume 24h
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which job should I accept? [M$10,000 subsidy] ?
- Manifold Markets cote If I accept the Penguin job, at what will I rate my overall life satisfaction in 2 years, on a scale of 0-100? à 80% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which job should I accept? [M$10,000 subsidy] sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which job should I accept? [M$10,000 subsidy] doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment Which job should I accept? [M$10,000 subsidy] est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : I recently started looking for a more serious job, and I received two strong job offers that I now have to choose between.