FutuurVérifier la disponibilitéDonnées de résolution vérifiéesProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 87%
Non 87%Qualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
827,3 €
Faible liquiditéTraders
6
Commentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will any serving head of state/government of a UN-recognised country become vegan by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine suffer nuclear power plant meltdowns during the Russia war?
Manifold MarketsWill AI-linked nuclear power deals total 15 GW by EOY2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
PolymarketUS lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by which date?
PolymarketRègles
This event predicts whether any country will become a new nuclear-armed state between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, becoming a nuclear power means successfully possessing at least one operational nuclear weapon.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be authoritative international sources, including SIPRI and official government confirmations.
- If authoritative sources confirm that a country newly acquired operational nuclear weapons during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Countries that previously possessed nuclear weapons, even if dormant or undeclared, will not count as new nuclear powers.
