Will any serving head of state/government of a UN-recognised country become vegan by 2027?
One-OffPolitiqueHealth & Medicine3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 70.3%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète29 déc. 25, 02:12 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRègles
"Become" here means it only counts if they switch from being non-vegan to being vegan, not if they were already vegan at market creation or taking office.
- Returning to veganism only counts if they were non-vegan for >1y.
- "Vegan" here covers both identifying as such without the actual lifestyle changes and making the lifestyle changes without identifying as such.
- Trace amounts of animal products in goods and services they purchase or use are allowed, but it cannot account for >1% of product mass, volume, or surface area.
- Unknowingly or unwillingly using animal products does not disqualify them.
- Update 2025-12-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For verification purposes:
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will any serving head of state/government of a UN-recognised country become vegan by 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 70% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will any serving head of state/government of a UN-recognised country become vegan by 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will any serving head of state/government of a UN-recognised country become vegan by 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will any serving head of state/government of a UN-recognised country become vegan by 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : "Become" here means it only counts if they switch from being non-vegan to being vegan, not if they were already vegan at market creation or taking office.