Will any serving head of state/government of a UN-recognised country become vegan by 2027?
One-OffPolitiqueSanté et médecine2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 90.2%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète29 déc. 25, 02:12 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will any country become a new nuclear power in 2026?
FutuurWill Neil deGrasse Tyson become vegan before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill I become vegan/vegetarian/pescatarian before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
PolymarketAfD in a German state government?
KalshiWill there be a head of state and/or government of a G20 country with a background in Effective Altrusim (EA) by 2035?
Manifold MarketsRègles
"Become" here means it only counts if they switch from being non-vegan to being vegan, not if they were already vegan at market creation or taking office.
- Returning to veganism only counts if they were non-vegan for >1y.
- "Vegan" here covers both identifying as such without the actual lifestyle changes and making the lifestyle changes without identifying as such.
- Trace amounts of animal products in goods and services they purchase or use are allowed, but it cannot account for >1% of product mass, volume, or surface area.
- Unknowingly or unwillingly using animal products does not disqualify them.
- Update 2025-12-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For verification purposes: