Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 88.5%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard23 juin 23, 00:36 UTC1 janv. 30, 08:00 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will any serving head of state/government of a UN-recognised country become vegan by 2027?
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KalshiRègles
Resolves YES if strong evidence comes out that Neil deGrasse Tyson went vegan, for any reason, before 2030.
- An example of strong evidence is him announcing it publicly.
- More specific criteria:
- He has to be vegan for at least 30 days continuously.
- The 30th day must be before 2030.
- I'm only counting eating foods that are typically considered vegan, not additional things like avoiding leather or animal-tested cosmetics.