Society & Culture
684 marchés liés suivis sur plusieurs sources pour Society & Culture.
Marchés Ouverts
418
Volume Total
$56,273,338
Volume 24h
$1,866
Liquidité Totale
$1,148,988
Which countries will legalize homosexual behavior by 2030( can Add countries)
4a
93.1%
89.9%
69.2%
+65 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire37 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETS5% more men than women in the US by 2055?
28a
80.2%
19.8%
Prévision communautaire9 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Is Earth flat?
5mo
98%
2%
56 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevéeProche de la résolution
Volume total51,7 k $US
Volume 24h101,1 $US
POLYMARKETWill gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency.
2a
96.8%
3.2%
Prévision communautaire67 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Pavel Durov (Telegram’s CEO) go to jail?
1a
92.9%
7.1%
Prévision communautaire101 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill there be at least one major U.S. blackout caused by a cyberattack by 2027?
5mo
89.9%
10.1%
Prévision communautaire38 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Major news story in Jul 2026?
1.0%6j
97%
-1.0%8%
-1.0%5%
+2 résultats de plus
56 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevéeProche de la résolution
Volume total48,2 k $US
Volume 24h221 $US
KALSHIWill Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?
4a
52.1%
47.9%
Prévision communautaire3 478 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill something happen in 2026?
5mo
95%
5%
Prévision communautaire164 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Charles III remain the king for all of 2026?
5mo
94.4%
5.6%
Prévision communautaire39 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen "Will Masking Return"? (widespread mask mandates in the USA)
35a
29.2%
19%
12.6%
+12 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire13 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill I burnout by the end of 2026?
5mo
75.5%
24.5%
Prévision communautaire9 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Destiny sue anyone?
9mo
54.5%
45.5%
Prévision communautaire9 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSDid Elon Musk control the SATANZ0Gpo tripcode, used in 4chan's /pol/ board?
5mo
95.4%
4.6%
Prévision communautaire62 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?
3a
55%
45%
Prévision communautaire151 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSColorado cavers confirm reopening "Cyclopean Cave" near Leadville by end-2026?
5mo
83.4%
16.6%
Prévision communautaire6 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill I live to be 150 years old?
165a
89%
11%
Prévision communautaire61 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill there be more software engineers in five years than there are today?
2a
58%
42%
Prévision communautaire216 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill @aella revert to Christianity within 5 years?
2a
96%
4%
Prévision communautaire54 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
1.0%5mo
82%
+1.0%18%
52 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité moyenne
Volume total12,5 k $US
Volume 24h282,6 $US
KALSHIWill Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on the cover of any of these magazines before 2028?
1a
62.7%
37.3%
Prévision communautaire101 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Princeton international students lose legal status before 2027 (as is seemingly happening at Harvard)?
5mo
94.1%
5.9%
Prévision communautaire25 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Hasan Piker ever admit that he shocked his dog? [ within 1 year ]
2mo
93%
7%
Prévision communautaire102 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Nate Silver create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
1a
81.2%
18.8%
Prévision communautaire118 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Noam Chomsky be alive to witness the development of AGI?
4a
94.9%
5.1%
Prévision communautaire35 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Aella carry a pregnancy to term before she turns 45?
10a
55.4%
44.6%
Prévision communautaire96 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSDid Donald Trump have gay sex?
5mo
95.2%
4.8%
Prévision communautaire49 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSAPUSH cheater prop bets
5mo
55.2%
53.6%
53.3%
+12 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire39 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will Viva.city secure a special jurisdiction?
1a
+0.6%73.6%
-0.4%15.2%
-0.2%7.9%
+1 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire9 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the One Piece manga reach over 1400 chapters?
1a
88.6%
11.4%
Prévision communautaire82 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the price of private education in Japan be cheaper in 5 years?
4a
53.8%
46.2%
Prévision communautaire14 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Christian Affiliation in the United States Increase Over Five Years?
4a
72.3%
27.7%
Prévision communautaire96 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Marc Andreessen be right that a replacement to the Francis Scott Key Bridge will not open before Mar 26 2027?
8mo
94.6%
5.4%
Prévision communautaire97 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the > 1/3 of US adults believe we are living in a computer simulation by 2040?
3a
90.9%
9.1%
Prévision communautaire25 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill I major in math?
2a
89.9%
10.1%
Prévision communautaire47 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Kurt Cobain's death case be reopened?
5mo
89.6%
10.4%
Prévision communautaire21 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the Voynich manuscript be deciphered by 2030? 📖🔎⁉️
3a
82.6%
17.4%
Prévision communautaire81 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat will happen before King Charles III dies? [Add Answers!]
2a
100%
100%
87.3%
+8 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire28 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Bobby Fischer be discovered to still be alive before 2030?
3a
98.4%
1.6%
Prévision communautaire29 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSCaroline Ellison next job
5mo
57.6%
50%
50%
+10 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire25 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the Slamfest '99 lost media be found by the end of 2026? (Super Smash Bros promotion event)
5mo
93.6%
6.4%
Prévision communautaire7 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Who is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?
7978a
+0.1%16.5%
+0.1%13%
+0.3%12.5%
+97 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire1 286 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill I (Aella) convert to Christianity by the end of 2028?
2a
98.2%
1.8%
Prévision communautaire192 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill any western country deny women the vote in the 21st century?
74a
75.4%
24.6%
Prévision communautaire20 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill there be fresh fruit/vegetables advertised+verified as being sold "microplastics-free" in any supermarket by 2026?
5mo
77%
23%
Prévision communautaire40 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill I get hit by a bike before I graduate high school?
10mo
79%
21%
Prévision communautaire35 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill a country successfully implement a full universal basic income (UBI) program nationwide by 2030?
4a
62%
38%
Prévision communautaire43 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill tipping your landlord be normalized within the next decade?
6a
94.1%
5.9%
Prévision communautaire52 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS