PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: 200-219
Résolu: 8 sept. 2026, 18:03
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Résultat Gagnant
200-219
À 7 jours
—
À 24 heures
47%
SurpriseAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 9 sept. 2026, 13:10 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Chronologie des Probabilités
220-2390%
160-1795%
240-2590%
340-3591%
200-219100%
180-19920%
260-2799%
280-2994%
200-219Gagné
<20Perdu
20-39Perdu
40-59Perdu
60-79Perdu
80-99Perdu
100-119Perdu
120-139Perdu
140-159Perdu
160-179Perdu
180-199Perdu
220-239Perdu
240-259Perdu
260-279Perdu
280-299Perdu
300-319Perdu
320-339Perdu
340-359Perdu
360-379Perdu
380-399Perdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Elon Musk tweets "Manifold Markets" before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk and Donald Trump publicly support different candidates in any 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill any GOP member of the US Congress lose their 2026 election to a candidate endorsed by Elon Musk?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026
KalshiHow rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?
KalshiElon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 1 12:00 PM ET to September 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
- Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
- The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.