Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 87%
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
20 août 25, 18:25 UTC31 déc. 26, 18:56 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketWhich year will legal action first be taken against Manifold Markets by any governmental entity ?
Manifold MarketsWill Manifold Markets (or its web host) partner with Project Glasswing to bolster its own cybersecurity by EOY2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a manifold.markets website be blocked in Brazil in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves YES if Elon Musk posts a message on X (formerly Twitter) containing the exact phrase "Manifold Markets" before January 1, 2027.
- Case-insensitive.
- The post must be publicly posted by Elon Musk’s official account @elonmusk.
- Retweets do not count.
- I will also accept "Manifoldmarkets" or any links to Manifold containing "Manifold.markets" in the tweet.
- I will NOT accept any other variants, such as "Manifold, markets" or "Manifold market".
Marchés ouverts
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8am EDT?
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
- $78,100 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 961,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 741,9 k €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $69,500 or above99%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 701,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 685,8 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+46.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.4pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 907,2 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+4.0pt27.4%
- 200-219+5.0pt22.6%
- 160-179-4.0pt20.6%
+23 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+4.0pt88.1%
- OpenAI-1.7pt9.9%
- Google-0.2pt2%
+18 résultats de plus
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Next James Bond actor?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Elon Musk tweets "Manifold Markets" before 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 87% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Elon Musk tweets "Manifold Markets" before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Elon Musk tweets "Manifold Markets" before 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Elon Musk tweets "Manifold Markets" before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if Elon Musk posts a message on X (formerly Twitter) containing the exact phrase "Manifold Markets" before January 1, 2027.