Which year will legal action first be taken against Manifold Markets by any governmental entity ?
RégulationCrime & Justice3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOther 84%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
24
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+3.2 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète29 avr. 24, 00:48 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will A Class Action Lawsuit Be Filed Against Manifold or ManiPlay By End Of 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill I win a game of chess against Manifold? (see other poll)
Manifold MarketsWill 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
KalshiJosé Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?
PolymarketClavicular sentenced to prison?
PolymarketRègles
Legal action includes a government entity suing or fining Manifold.
- At the start of each new year the previous year will resolve NO and a new option will be added to the market (market end date will also be pushed forward by one year).
- When the first fine or legal proceeding happens all outstanding answers will resolve NO except for the current year which will resolve YES.
Marchés ouverts
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No84.2%
- Yes15.8%
- Volume total
- 12,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 89,2 k €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+7.0pt45%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+1.0pt33%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-4.0pt32%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,4 M €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 2027+4.0pt98%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-2.0pt95%
- Before Jan 1, 2027-3.0pt93%
+9 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETSB Energy IPO by which date?
- December 31+39.0pt89%
- October 31+24.5pt76%
- September 30+16.0pt63%
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+4.0pt67%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt50%
- Before May 1, 2027+1.0pt50%
+8 résultats de plus
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Will Colorado's AI rules take effect before February 2027?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Alphabet’s Market Cap end of 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which year will legal action first be taken against Manifold Markets by any governmental entity ? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Other à 84% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which year will legal action first be taken against Manifold Markets by any governmental entity ? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which year will legal action first be taken against Manifold Markets by any governmental entity ? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Which year will legal action first be taken against Manifold Markets by any governmental entity ? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Legal action includes a government entity suing or fining Manifold.