Will the Clarity Act become law?
1.0 pts (24h)One-OffCryptoRégulationCommoditiesStablecoinPolitique3mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Oct 1, 2027 39%-6.0ptEn tête parmi 10 options
Qualité du marché
≤74 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
74,3 k €
Liquidité
2,8 M €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
4 déc. 25, 01:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
KalshiClarity Act will pass in September
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
LimitlessWill the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) become law by December 31 2026?
ForecastExClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketWhich Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
KalshiRègles
If a crypto market structure bill has become law before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Library of Congress
- For purposes of this Contract, "crypto market structure legislation" means any bill that does all of the following:
- Establishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (but not solely for stablecoins); AND Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; AND Creates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications.
- The following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:
- Bills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure; Bills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework; Bills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs); Appropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities; Bills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions; Executive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules (only Congressional legislation counts); Bills that pass only one chamber of Congress; Bills that are vetoed and not overridden; State legislation of any kind
- Examples that WOULD meet the Payout Criterion:
Marchés ouverts
CryptoPOLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.4pt100%
- 74,000+1.4pt100%
- 68,000100%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 936 k €
- Volume 24h
- 714,5 k €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt98%
- $25M+0.8pt95%
- $50M+10.0pt95%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,250 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
- $77,000 or above98%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 567,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 564,3 k €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $79,365.65 target
- No84%
- Yes16%
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 482,8 k €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- $78,700 or above99%
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,600 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 403 k €
- Volume 24h
- 382,6 k €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,2 M €
- What price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- Bitcoin all time high by which date?
- Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the Clarity Act become law? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Oct 1, 2027 à 39% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the Clarity Act become law? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the Clarity Act become law? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will the Clarity Act become law? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If a crypto market structure bill has become law before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.