Will crypto market structure legislation become law?
One-OffCryptoRégulationCommoditiesStablecoinPolitique1mo
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleBefore Sep 1, 2026 4%En tête parmi 12 options
Qualite du marche
73 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
30,1 k €
Liquidité
1,3 M €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
3.0% / 4.0%
Spread
33.3%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 minutes
13 juil. 26, 16:001 sept. 26, 14:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Before Sep 1, 20264%
Grosses transactions
$3.0k99.6%KALSHIBefore Aug 1, 2026 — Noavant-hier
KALSHIBefore Aug 1, 2026 — Noavant-hier$1.2k79.0%KALSHIBefore Oct 1, 2026 — Noavant-hier
KALSHIBefore Oct 1, 2026 — Noavant-hier$1.6k78.0%KALSHIBefore Oct 1, 2026 — Noavant-hier
KALSHIBefore Oct 1, 2026 — Noavant-hier$5.2k98.0%KALSHIBefore Aug 1, 2026 — No-3 j
KALSHIBefore Aug 1, 2026 — No-3 j$1.0k50.0%KALSHIBefore Nov 1, 2026 — Yes-4 j
KALSHIBefore Nov 1, 2026 — Yes-4 j$2.3k92.0%KALSHIBefore Sep 1, 2026 — No-5 j
KALSHIBefore Sep 1, 2026 — No-5 j$1.2k65.0%KALSHIBefore Jan 1, 2027 — No-12 j
KALSHIBefore Jan 1, 2027 — No-12 j$3.1k63.0%KALSHIBefore Jan 1, 2027 — No-16 j
KALSHIBefore Jan 1, 2027 — No-16 jTendance du volume
$34.2k2 juil.25j de données26 juil.
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If a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For purposes of this Contract, "crypto market structure legislation" means any bill that does all of the following:
- Establishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (but not solely for stablecoins); AND Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; AND Creates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications.
- The following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:
- Bills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure; Bills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework; Bills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs); Appropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities; Bills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions; Executive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules (only Congressional legislation counts); Bills that pass only one chamber of Congress; Bills that are vetoed and not overridden; State legislation of any kind
- Examples that WOULD meet the Payout Criterion: