Will the Clarity Act become law?
2.0 pts (24h)One-OffCryptoRégulationMatières premièresStablecoinPolitique7j
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Before Jan 1, 2028 · —
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Prix enregistré
Before Jan 1, 2028 20%En tête parmi 9 options
Before Jan 1, 2028 20%Qualité du marché
60 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
17,1 k €
Intérêt ouvert
3,3 M $US
Intérêt ouvert élevéAchat / Vente
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Before Jan 1, 2028Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
13 juil. 26, 16:00 UTC1 nov. 26, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Before Sep 1, 2026Perdu
Avant la clôture: 1% ·
Before Oct 1, 2026Perdu
Avant la clôture: 1% ·
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before Jan 1, 2028
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) become law by December 31 2026?
ForecastExClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketWhich Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
PolymarketHow many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
KalshiWhich Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
KalshiHow many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
PolymarketRègles
If a crypto market structure bill has become law before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Library of Congress
- For purposes of this Contract, "crypto market structure legislation" means any bill that does all of the following: Establishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (but not solely for stablecoins); AND Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; AND Creates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications. The following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: Bills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure; Bills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework; Bills that only address Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs); Appropriations bills that merely fund crypto-related activities; Bills that only address crypto taxation without market structure provisions; Executive orders, regulatory guidance, or agency rules (only Congressional legislation counts); Bills that pass only one chamber of Congress; Bills that are vetoed and not overridden; State legislation of any kind Examples that WOULD meet the Payout Criterion: The Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act, if passed by both chambers and signed into law; The Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act (FIT21), if passed by both chambers and signed into law; Any omnibus bill that includes comprehensive crypto market structure provisions as described above. Examples that would NOT meet the Payout Criterion: The GENIUS Act or STABLE Act (stablecoin-only legislation); The Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act (CBDC-specific); A bill that passes the House but not the Senate; An executive order directing agencies to study crypto regulation.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If a crypto market structure bill has become law before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If a crypto market structure bill has become law before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If a crypto market structure bill has become law before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If a crypto market structure bill has become law before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If a crypto market structure bill has become law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If a crypto market structure bill has become law before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If a crypto market structure bill has become law before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If a crypto market structure bill has become law before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If a crypto market structure bill has become law before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.