KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above 60 68%+40.0ptEn tête parmi 8 options
Qualité du marché
41 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
286,4 €
Liquidité
17,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
16.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
16 mai 26, 21:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
KalshiWhich Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
PolymarketClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Clarity Act become law?
KalshiCLARITY Act signed into law in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill crypto regulation (Clarity Act) be enacted in 2026?
PredictItRègles
If the number of Senate voting Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) before Jan 1, 2027 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Library of Congress
- KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcryptostructure/crypto-market-structure/kxcryptostructure-26jan
- The vote must occur in the relevant full chamber (that is, not a Committee vote, though not every member of the chamber needs to have participated in the vote).
- If no vote has occurred before the specified date, then any market not including "zero" within its count (e.g. "Between 50 and 64") resolves to No, and any market including "zero" (e.g. "Below 50") resolves to Yes.
- If the vote count is not specified but the bill is passed, any market including "100" for the Senate and "435" for the House of Representatives (e.g. "Between 65 and 100" or "Between 300 and 435") will resolve to Yes, and any market not including "100" or "435", respectively, (e.g. "Below 65") resolves to No. Once the market has expired, a request by any Member of Congress to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Congress.gov or any other official source.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
2 plateformes cotent actuellement ce marché. La probabilité de référence pondérée par la liquidité de CoinRithm pour Above 60 est de 34%. Les cotations s'écartent d'environ 34 points de pourcentage entre les plateformes extrêmes.
Référence CoinRithm Above 60 34% · 2 plateformes · 34 pt d’ecart entre venues
Marchés ouverts
CryptoPOLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.4pt100%
- 74,000+1.4pt100%
- 68,000100%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 936 k €
- Volume 24h
- 714,5 k €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt98%
- $25M+0.8pt95%
- $50M+10.0pt95%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,250 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
- $77,000 or above98%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 567,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 564,3 k €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $79,365.65 target
- No84%
- Yes16%
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 482,8 k €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 9am EDT?
- $78,700 or above99%
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,600 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 403 k €
- Volume 24h
- 382,6 k €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,2 M €
- What price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Bitcoin all time high by which date?
- Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? ?
- Kalshi cote Above 60 à 68% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the number of Senate voting Yea on a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) before Jan 1, 2027 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket.