KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
At least 1 49%-4.0ptEn tête parmi 5 options
At least 1 49%-4.0ptQualité du marché
39 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
124 €
Intérêt ouvert
2,9 k €
Intérêt ouvert moyenÉcart
8.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
1 oct. 26, 14:00 UTC1 nov. 26, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will I be published in a major news outlet by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat news stories of the 2020s will be included in respected history textbooks published in the 2050s?
Manifold MarketsHawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026
KalshiWill I still be an active Manifold user in 8 years (08.12.2033) ?
Manifold MarketsWill Calvin Wang submit the 21W.023 Discussion Post Homework on time? (Writing Advice from Stephen King)
Manifold MarketsWill the Dancing Plague return before 2031?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the number of New York Times front page banner headlines is at least 1 in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:New York Times
- How this is resolved This market resolves based on the front page displayed in the NYT Store's 'Front Page Reprint' section. "Banner headline" refers to a standalone centered headline surrounded only by whitespace. Past examples: Jan 5, 2026; Jan 4, 2026; Nov 5, 2025; May 31, 2024; Jun 24, 2016
Règles de chaque résultat
- At least 1
- If the number of New York Times front page banner headlines is at least 1 in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2
- If the number of New York Times front page banner headlines is at least 2 in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 3
- If the number of New York Times front page banner headlines is at least 3 in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5
- If the number of New York Times front page banner headlines is at least 5 in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 10
- If the number of New York Times front page banner headlines is at least 10 in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
