PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Down 88%+0.5pt
Qualité du marché
33 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
217 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
5.0% / 19.0%
Écart
14.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
2
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
27 janv. 26, 22:29 UTC30 avr. 27, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Canada's population declines in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBefore which quarters will Canada's population exceed 42 million?
Manifold MarketsWill Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?
PolymarketWill at least 3 American cities reach a population of 1 million for the first time before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill West Virginia's population grow in 2026?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
- If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
- The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
- Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market.
Marchés ouverts
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-2.0pt47.1%
- 65-89-3.0pt26.5%
- <40+3.0pt18.6%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 51,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 15,7 k €
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No76%
- Yes24%
- Volume total
- 15,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,2 k €
KALSHIWho will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- Vanderbilt87%
- UCLA+1.0pt85%
- Rice84%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 14,3 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No82%
- Yes+17.0pt18%
- Volume total
- 11 k €
- Volume 24h
- 505,4 €
POLYMARKETTurner Prize 2026 Winner
- Tanoa Sasraku29.5%
- Marguerite Humeau+4.0pt26.7%
- Kira Freije25.7%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
FORECASTEXWill UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition exceed $53,000 in 2026?
- Yes82%
- No18%
- Volume total
- 430,2 €
- Volume 24h
- 430,2 €
- Will UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition exceed $54,000 in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Will UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- Will UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition exceed $56,000 in 2026?
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Bayeux Tapestry back in France by which date?
- Clavicular and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez confirm relationship in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Canada's population Up or Down this year? ?
- Polymarket cote Down à 88% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Canada's population Up or Down this year? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Canada's population Up or Down this year? doit être résolu le 30 avril 2027.
- Comment Canada's population Up or Down this year? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.