Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 71.8%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète1 janv. 26, 03:31 UTC31 déc. 26, 15:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Chicago tax revenue declines three years in a row due to flight from the city.
Manifold MarketsCanada's population Up or Down this year?
PolymarketBefore which quarters will Canada's population exceed 42 million?
Manifold MarketsWill the foreign population of Japan exceed 5 million people by the 2025 census?
Manifold MarketsVisitors to Florida in 2026
KalshiHow high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- Statistics Canada officially projects 0.3% population growth in 2025, to be followed by negative 0.2% in 2026.
- The market resolves YES if Canada's total population on December 31, 2026 is lower than on January 1, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official Statistics Canada population estimates, available at Statistics Canada's population estimates page.
- Jan 1 2026: 41,548,511
- The government's 2025–2027 immigration plan proposes a substantial reduction of admissions of new permanent residents and a decrease in the number of non-permanent residents living in the country, with the goal of pausing population growth in the short term.
Marchés ouverts
Macro & EconomyKALSHIVisitors to Florida in 2026
- Above 136 million97%
- Above 138 million-2.0pt94%
- Above 140 million+3.0pt80%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 130,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 51 k €
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes8%
- Volume total
- 2,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 17,9 k €
KALSHIHow high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- At least ¥73,000-35.0pt30%
- At least ¥74,000-40.0pt27%
- At least ¥80,00024%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 16,9 k €
KALSHIPort of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
- Above 8.4 million TEUs95%
- Above 8.6 million TEUs+4.0pt85%
- Above 8.7 million TEUs+3.0pt73%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate+5.0pt92.4%
- Hike 25bps-6.0pt1.9%
- Cut 50bps1.9%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 44 k €
KALSHIWill the S&P finish positive this year?
- Yes-1.0pt89%
- No11%
- Volume total
- 893,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 8,6 k €
- How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Initial jobless claims for the week ending September 5, 2026
- ISM Services PMI - September 2026
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- Will Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- How low will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on September 30?
- What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
- Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/7 - 9/13)
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Canada's population declines in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 72% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Canada's population declines in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Canada's population declines in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Canada's population declines in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria