Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 56.5%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 20 heures
Obsolète1 janv. 26, 03:31 UTC31 déc. 26, 15:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- Statistics Canada officially projects 0.3% population growth in 2025, to be followed by negative 0.2% in 2026.
- The market resolves YES if Canada's total population on December 31, 2026 is lower than on January 1, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official Statistics Canada population estimates, available at Statistics Canada's population estimates page.
- Jan 1 2026: 41,548,511
- The government's 2025–2027 immigration plan proposes a substantial reduction of admissions of new permanent residents and a decrease in the number of non-permanent residents living in the country, with the goal of pausing population growth in the short term.