KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 88%
Qualité du marché
86 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
8,6 k €
Liquidité
391,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
87.0% / 88.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
6 janv. 26, 15:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the NASDAQ-100 finish positive in 2026?
KalshiHow high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
KalshiHow high will the S&P get this year?
KalshiWill Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill Perplexity's valuation hit __ by December 31?
Polymarket2nd largest company end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 6845.50, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:For example, Google Finance
- The market will close on December 31, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.
- Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
- See the rules for more information.
Marchés ouverts
EquitiesPOLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-0.5pt79%
- Apple-0.7pt13%
- Alphabet7%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 91 k €
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.99-1.0pt16.2%
- 8,000 to 8,199.99+1.0pt15.2%
- 7,600 to 7,799.9910.5%
+24 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 5,6 M €
KALSHINasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- 33,000.01 or above+5.0pt17.5%
- 30,500 to 30,999.99-1.0pt6.8%
- 31,000 to 31,499.99+1.0pt6.8%
+27 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9?
- Down75.3%
- Up24.8%
- Volume total
- 27,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 27,4 k €
KALSHINasdaq-100 price on Sep 9, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 29,070 or above90%
- 29,080 or above90%
- 29,090 or above90%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 31,2 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.25–$2.5T+8.5pt26.2%
- $2.0–$2.25T-1.0pt21.4%
- $1.75–$2.0T-1.0pt18.4%
+7 résultats de plus
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 9?
- STRC hits $100 by…
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- How high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- S&P price on Sep 9, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- S&P 500 Daily Up/Down
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- S&P price on Sep 9, 2026 at 10am EDT?
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of September 7 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the S&P finish positive this year? ?
- Kalshi cote Yes à 88% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the S&P finish positive this year? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will the S&P finish positive this year? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 6845.50, then the market resolves to Yes.