Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Before Q2 2027 14.6%En tête parmi 11 options
Before Q2 2027 14.6%Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 21 minutes
23 nov. 24, 15:11 UTC2 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Canada's population declines in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US population exceed 500 million by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill the UK population exceed 70 million before 2035?
Manifold MarketsIn which census will the California population first exceed 40 million?
Manifold MarketsWill global carbon dioxide emissions exceed 38,000 million metric tons in 2026?
ForecastExWill global carbon dioxide emissions exceed 37,500 million metric tons in 2026?
ForecastExRègles
This will resolve based on Statistics Canada's quarterly population estimates.
- Estimates indicate the estimated population on the first day of the quarter, so if the estimate for Q4 2025 is greater than 42 million, then the entry for "the named outcome" will be presumed to be resolve YES (and each later entry likewise).
