KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Above 25.1% · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Above 25.1% 98.5%En tête parmi 11 options
Above 25.1% 98.5%Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Intérêt ouvert
11,2 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
— / —
Above 25.1%Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
27 juil. 26, 14:00 UTC1 juil. 27, 03:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Above 25.1%
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill global GDP growth rate (real) exceed 21% by the end of the 21st century?
Manifold MarketsWill Artificial Intelligence drive at least 3.5% of Global GDP in 2030?
Manifold MarketsHow will global GDP be distributed among the countries in 2050? [add responses]
Manifold MarketsCPI YoY in November
Kalshi2026: Trump's dream year?
KalshiRègles
If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:World Bank
- The Underlying is the United States’ percentage share of World gross domestic product in current U.S. dollars for 2026, calculated using the World Bank’s World Development Indicators. The Expiration Value will be calculated as: 100 × United States GDP ÷ World GDP “United States GDP” and “World GDP” refer to the values attributed to 2026 for the World Bank indicator “GDP (current US$),” series code NY.GDP.MKTP.CD, for the economies United States and World, respectively. Both inputs must be taken from the first World Development Indicators database release in which values attributed to 2026 are available for both the United States and World.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Above 25.1%
- If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 25.2%
- If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 25.3%
- If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 25.4%
- If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 25.5%
- If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 25.6%
- If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 25.8%
- If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 25.7%
- If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 26.0%
- If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 26.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 25.9%
- If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 26.1%
- If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 26.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.