KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above 25.1% 98%En tête parmi 11 options
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
8,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
27 juil. 26, 14:00 UTC1 juil. 27, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill global GDP growth rate (real) exceed 21% by the end of the 21st century?
Manifold MarketsWill Artificial Intelligence drive at least 3.5% of Global GDP in 2030?
Manifold MarketsUSD share of global FX reserves in Q2 2026
KalshiInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
KalshiCPI in September
KalshiRègles
If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:World Bank
- The Underlying is the United States’ percentage share of World gross domestic product in current U.S. dollars for 2026, calculated using the World Bank’s World Development Indicators.
- The Expiration Value will be calculated as: 100 × United States GDP ÷ World GDP
- “United States GDP” and “World GDP” refer to the values attributed to 2026 for the World Bank indicator “GDP (current US$),” series code NY.GDP.MKTP.CD, for the economies United States and World, respectively.
- Both inputs must be taken from the first World Development Indicators database release in which values attributed to 2026 are available for both the United States and World.
- If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
EconomyKALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.3%+5.0pt98%
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt98%
- Above 3.2%98%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 247,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 79,4 k €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No96%
- Yes-4.0pt4%
- Volume total
- 3,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 18,6 k €
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above 0.0%+1.0pt99%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 131,3 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETUS recession by end of 2026?
- No+2.0pt89.1%
- Yes-2.0pt10.9%
- Volume total
- 1,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 13,1 k €
KALSHIUnemployment in September
- Above 3.8%+5.0pt98%
- Above 3.7%97%
- Above 3.9%+4.0pt93%
+11 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,1 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No72%
- Yes+4.0pt28%
- Volume total
- 379,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 9,3 k €
- CPI core in October
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- CPI in October
- Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
- CPI core in September
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- How high will unemployment get in 2026?
- US Nominal GDP in 2026
- China unemployment rate in September
- September 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP
- CPI in November
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour US share of global GDP in 2026 ?
- Kalshi cote Above 25.1% à 98% au 17 septembre 2026.
- Quand US share of global GDP in 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- US share of global GDP in 2026 doit être résolu le 1 juillet 2027.
- Comment US share of global GDP in 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.