KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleOui 40%
Qualite du marche
72 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
91,6 €
Liquidité
32,4 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
37.0% / 39.0%
Spread
5.4%
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 24 minutes
24 avr. 26, 19:1531 janv. 28, 13:25
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes40%
Tendance du volume
$1042 juil.25j de données26 juil.
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Recession this year?
3,2 k €Oui: 11%KALSHI
KALSHI
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
10,6 k €Above 3.4%: 31%KALSHI
KALSHI
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
3,9 k €0-1%: 56%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2026: Trump's dream year?
1,8 k €Oui: 5%KALSHI
KALSHI
US economic state at the end of 2026?
1,6 k €Soft Landing: 60%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US recession by end of 2026?
467,7 €Oui: 12%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Règles
If there are two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth in Q4 2026 through Q4 2027, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the avoidance of doubt, qualifying consecutive quarters may include Q4 2026 and Q1 2027.
- GDP growth refers to the quarter-over-quarter annualized percent change in real GDP as reported in the Advance Estimate for each quarter.
- The market will close at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or 8:25 AM ET on the morning of the expected release of the Advance Estimate of 2027 Q4 GDP.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event or the first 10:00 AM ET after the release of the Advance Estimate of 2027 Q4 GDP.