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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Inflation
  3. US economic state at the end of 2026?
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

1.0% (24h)InflationOne-OffÉconomie7mo
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Overheating
Overheating 47%-3.0%
En tête parmi 4 options
Qualite du marche

28 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

3 €

Liquidité

1,1 k €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

6.0% / 29.0%

Spread

383.3%

Spread large
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes

24 avr. 26, 21:5431 janv. 27, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Overheating47%

Règles

The unemployment rate is defined as the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force, denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release.

Polymarket
  • The inflation rate is defined as the 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Consumer Price Index release.
  • This market will resolve according to the unemployment rate and the inflation rate published for December 2026.
  • If either the December 2026 inflation rate or the December 2026 unemployment rate is not published by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published available value of the rate for a month prior to December 2026.
  • This market will resolve to “Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%.
  • This market will resolve to “Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%.

Marchés Associés

Inflation in June 2026 (CPI YoY)

Inflation in June 2026 (CPI YoY)

52,7 €
Above 4.0%: 50%KalshiKALSHI
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)

Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)

42,2 €
Above 4.0%: 50%KalshiKALSHI
State of the economy at the end of 2026

State of the economy at the end of 2026

8,7 €
Stagflation: 32%KalshiKALSHI
How high will inflation get in 2026?

How high will inflation get in 2026?

25,8 k €
Above 4%: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
June Inflation US - Annual

June Inflation US - Annual

664,9 €
4.1%: 23%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

419,1 €
5.50-5.99%: 27%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,256.04+0.79%EthereumETH$1,644.49+0.29%SolanaSOL$64.92-0.43%DogecoinDOGE$0.0843-0.57%XRPXRP$1.12-1.10%BNBBNB$593.55+0.19%

Actualités Associées

BlackRock warns of energy shock as May CPI is set to show acceleration in inflationCoindeskStrategy's bitcoin purchase fails to stir BTC priceCoindeskBitcoin price stalls near $64K before key U.S. inflation dataCrypto NewsBitcoin braces for inflation shock as CPI puts bulls on edgeCrypto NewsBlame bitcoin's tumble on rising inflation, not Strategy, 10xResearch arguesCoindeskU.S. inflation, European Central Bank rate decision: Crypto Week AheadCoindesk

Règles

The unemployment rate is defined as the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed as a percent of the civilian labor force, denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release.

Polymarket
  • The inflation rate is defined as the 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Consumer Price Index release.
  • This market will resolve according to the unemployment rate and the inflation rate published for December 2026.
  • If either the December 2026 inflation rate or the December 2026 unemployment rate is not published by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the most recently published available value of the rate for a month prior to December 2026.
  • This market will resolve to “Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is less than 5.0% and the inflation rate is less than 3.5%.
  • This market will resolve to “Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)” if the unemployment rate is greater than or equal to 5.0% and the inflation rate is greater than or equal to 3.5%.